Will far-right win 2030 Japan election?

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LIVE1 CONTRACT·1 EXCHANGE·JAPAN
What the market prices
24%implied chance this resolves yes
0 · WON’T HAPPEN50100 · CERTAIN
30-day range · Manifold
30d low 24.0 · Oct 1130d high 27.9 · Oct 10
Where the books disagree

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