Hawaii Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·$3K traded / 24h·9 contracts·5 exchanges·Margin rank 32 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.4Safe D · ▲ 1.3 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.4
enters as 2.4
Democrats win
97.6
enters as 100 − 97.6 = 2.4

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Hawaii

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