HI-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.2enters as 2.2
Democrats win
97.8enters as 100 − 97.8 = 2.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does HI-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
HI-01 General Election — Adriel Lam5.0HI-01 General Election — Ed Case96.0Will Democratic win the House race for HI-01? - Ed Case95.5Will Republican win the House race for HI-01? - Adriel Lam2.3Will Ed Case win the Hawaii 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?98.0Will the Republican Party win the HI-01 House seat?2.6
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.2 · rows open on the exchange
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