AL-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
97.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
97.2enters as 97.2
Democrats win
2.8enters as 100 − 2.8 = 97.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does AL-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for AL-01? - Clyde Jones3.5Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?96.8Will the Democratic Party win the AL-01 House seat?2.5AL-01 General Election — Clyde Jones4.0AL-01 General Election — Rhett Marques5.0AL-01 General Election — Jerry Carl95.0
Show all 9 contracts
Will Republican win the House race for AL-01? - Jerry Carl98.1Will the Democratic party win the Alabama's 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?13.0Will the Republican party win the Alabama's 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?88.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 97.2 · rows open on the exchange
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