Alabama Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected hold·$23K traded / 24h·13 contracts·7 exchanges·Margin rank 18 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
93.8Safe R · ▲ 0.4 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
93.8
enters as 93.8
Democrats win
6.2
enters as 100 − 6.2 = 93.8

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Alabama

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 13

Sorted by weight

Will the democrats win the 2026 Alabama governor election?7.0Manifold ◦ ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 93.0weight 80.3%Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Alabama - Doug Jones6.7Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 93.3weight 10.9%Will the Republican party win the governorship in Alabama - Tommy Tuberville94.2Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 94.2weight 8.0%Will Tommy Tuberville win the Alabama general election for Governor in 2026?95.0ForecastEx ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 95.0weight 0.4%Will the Democrats win the Alabama governor race in 2026?4.9Polymarket ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 95.1weight 0.4%Alabama Governor General Election — Doug Jones6.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 94.0weight 0.0%
Show all 13 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 93.8 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
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