AL-06 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
95.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
95.8enters as 95.8
Democrats win
4.3enters as 100 − 4.3 = 95.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does AL-06 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
AL-06 General Election — Keith Pilkington2.5AL-06 General Election — Elizabeth Anderson2.5AL-06 General Election — Maurice Mercer5.0AL-06 General Election — Gary Palmer98.0Will Keith Pilkington win the Alabama 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?6.0Will Gary Palmer win the Alabama 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?90.0
Show all 11 contracts
Will Elizabeth Anderson win the Alabama 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?6.0Will Democratic win the House race for AL-06? - Maurice Mercer3.4Will Republican win the House race for AL-06? - Gary Palmer96.4Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat?95.9Will the Democratic Party win the AL-06 House seat?2.5
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 95.8 · rows open on the exchange
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