CA-13 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
5.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
5.6enters as 5.6
Democrats win
94.4enters as 100 − 94.4 = 5.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-13 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for CA-13? - Adam Gray93.0Will Republican win the House race for CA-13? - Kevin Lincoln6.8California-13 House Winner - Kevin Lincoln II8.0California-13 House Winner - Adam Gray96.0CA-13 General Election — Kevin Lincoln7.0CA-13 General Election — Adam Gray92.0
Show all 10 contracts
Will Kevin Lincoln win the California 13th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Adam Gray win the California 13th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?92.0Will the Republican Party win the CA-13 House seat?4.1Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat?95.5
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 5.6 · rows open on the exchange
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