FL-15 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
94.4
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
94.4enters as 94.4
Democrats win
5.6enters as 100 − 5.6 = 94.4
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does FL-15 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-15 House seat?4.5Will Democratic win the House race for FL-15? - Robert People5.3Will Republican win the House race for FL-15? - Laurel Lee94.1FL-15 General Election — Robert People9.0FL-15 General Election — Laurel Lee89.0Will Robert People win the Florida 15th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?9.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will Laurel Lee win the Florida 15th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will the Republican Party win the FL-15 House seat?95.0
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Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 94.4 · rows open on the exchange
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