CA-15 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.1enters as 3.1
Democrats win
96.9enters as 100 − 96.9 = 3.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-15 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for CA-15? - Charles Hoelter2.0Will Democratic win the House race for CA-15? - Kevin Mullin96.9CA-15 General Election — Charles Hoelter3.0CA-15 General Election — Anna Kramer7.0CA-15 General Election — Kevin Mullin93.0Will Kevin Mullin win the California 15th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?93.0
Show all 9 contracts
Will Anna Kramer win the California 15th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?8.0Will the Republican Party win the CA-15 House seat?2.5Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat?95.7
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.1 · rows open on the exchange
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