MS-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.1enters as 3.1
Democrats win
96.9enters as 100 − 96.9 = 3.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MS-02 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the MS-02 House seat?2.4Will Republican win the House race for MS-02? - Ron Eller3.4Mississippi-02 House Winner - Ron Eller6.0Mississippi-02 House Winner - Bennie Thompson99.0MS-02 General Election — Ron Eller5.0MS-02 General Election — Bennie Thompson94.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will Democratic win the House race for MS-02? - Bennie Thompson96.7Will the Democratic Party win the MS-02 House seat?97.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.1 · rows open on the exchange
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