CA-42 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.1enters as 3.1
Democrats win
96.9enters as 100 − 96.9 = 3.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-42 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
CA-42 General Election — Brian Burley3.0CA-42 General Election — Robert Garcia96.0Will Democratic win the House race for CA-42? - Robert Garcia96.4Will Republican win the House race for CA-42? - Brian Burley3.8Will Robert Garcia win the California 42nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will Brian Burley win the California 42nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?6.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the CA-42 House seat?1.8Will the Democratic Party win the CA-42 House seat?96.4
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.1 · rows open on the exchange
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