CA-20 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
96.4
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
96.4enters as 96.4
Democrats win
3.6enters as 100 − 3.6 = 96.4
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-20 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-20 House seat?2.8CA-20 General Election — Sandra Van Scotter5.0CA-20 General Election — Vince Fong93.0Will the Republican party win the California's 20th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?86.0Will Democratic win the House race for CA-20? - Sandra Van Scotter3.7Will Republican win the House race for CA-20? - Vince Fong96.4
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 96.4 · rows open on the exchange
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