CA-25 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.6enters as 3.6
Democrats win
96.3enters as 100 − 96.3 = 3.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-25 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
CA-25 General Election — Joe Males6.0CA-25 General Election — Raul Ruiz94.0Will Democratic win the House race for CA-25? - Raul Ruiz96.6Will Republican win the House race for CA-25? - Joe Males3.9Will the Democratic party win the California's 25th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?85.0Will the Republican Party win the CA-25 House seat?4.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.6 · rows open on the exchange
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