NJ-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.6enters as 3.6
Democrats win
96.4enters as 100 − 96.4 = 3.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NJ-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-01 House seat?3.7NJ-01 General Election — Damon Galdo4.0NJ-01 General Election — Donald Norcross91.0Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-01? - Donald Norcross96.9Will Republican win the House race for NJ-01? - Damon Galdo3.7Will Gabe Rodriguez win the New Jersey 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?12.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will Donald Norcross win the New Jersey 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-01 House seat?96.2
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Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.6 · rows open on the exchange
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