TX-11 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
96.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
96.3enters as 96.3
Democrats win
3.7enters as 100 − 3.7 = 96.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TX-11 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
TX-11 General Election — Claire Reynolds9.0TX-11 General Election — August Pfluger91.0Will Claire Reynolds win the Texas 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?9.0Will August Pfluger win the Texas 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0Will Pedro Ruiz win the Texas 11th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Democratic win the House race for TX-11? - Claire Reynolds4.2
Show all 9 contracts
Will Republican win the House race for TX-11? - August Pfluger96.9Will the Republican Party win the TX-11 House seat?96.7Will the Democratic Party win the TX-11 House seat?3.1
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 96.3 · rows open on the exchange
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