CA-32 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.9
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.9enters as 1.9
Democrats win
98.1enters as 100 − 98.1 = 1.9
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-32 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 38 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-32 House seat?98.0CA-32 General Election — Larry Thompson6.0CA-32 General Election — Brad Sherman93.0Will Democratic win the House race for CA-32? - Brad Sherman98.0Will Republican win the House race for CA-32? - Larry Thompson5.0Will Brad Sherman win the California 32nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?93.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will Larry Thompson win the California 32nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?6.0Will the Republican Party win the CA-32 House seat?1.8
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.9 · rows open on the exchange
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