CA-47 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.6enters as 3.6
Democrats win
96.4enters as 100 − 96.4 = 3.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-47 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will the Republican Party win the CA-47 House seat?3.4Will Republican win the House race for CA-47? - Jenny Le Roux4.5Will Democratic win the House race for CA-47? - Dave Min97.3CA-47 General Election — Jenny Rae Le Roux4.0CA-47 General Election — Dave Min96.0Will the Democratic party win the California's 47th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?88.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.6 · rows open on the exchange
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