CA-50 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.1enters as 3.1
Democrats win
96.9enters as 100 − 96.9 = 3.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does CA-50 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 6
Sorted by weight
CA-50 General Election — Scott Peters97.0Will Democratic win the House race for CA-50? - Scott Peters97.5Will Republican win the House race for CA-50? - Stephen Cohen3.5Will the Democratic party win the California's 50th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?87.0Will the Republican Party win the CA-50 House seat?3.1Will the Democratic Party win the CA-50 House seat?95.8
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.1 · rows open on the exchange
Other California races this cycle