VA-10 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.1
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.1enters as 3.1
Democrats win
96.8enters as 100 − 96.8 = 3.1
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does VA-10 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
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Will a Republican win the House race for VA-10? - Dave Beckwith2.6VA-10 General Election — Dave Beckwith7.0VA-10 General Election — Suhas Subramanyam92.0Will Dave Beckwith win the Virginia 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?7.0Will Suhas Subramanyam win the Virginia 10th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?92.0Will a Democrat win the House race for VA-10? - Suhas Subramanyam96.3
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the VA-10 House seat?2.6Will the Democratic Party win the VA-10 House seat?96.5
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.1 · rows open on the exchange
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