Delaware Senate 2026

The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·$4K traded / 24h·13 contracts·6 exchanges·Margin rank 30 of 35
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
1.8Safe D · 0.0 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
1.8
enters as 1.8
Democrats win
98.2
enters as 100 − 98.2 = 1.8

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Control of the Senate

Does Delaware decide the Senate?

No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 33.8.
Full Senate picture
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 13

Sorted by weight

Will Republicans win the Senate race in Delaware? - Michael Katz1.8Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 1.8weight 95.3%Will Democratics win the Senate race in Delaware? - Chris Coons98.3Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 1.7weight 4.7%Delaware US Senate Winner - Michael Katz5.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 95.0weight 0.0%Delaware US Senate Winner - Chris Coons99.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 1.0weight 0.0%Delaware Senate General Election — John Shulli2.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 98.0weight 0.0%Delaware Senate General Election — Michael Katz2.5IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 97.5weight 0.0%
Show all 13 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 1.8 · rows open on the exchange
Other Delaware races this cycle

The closest House seats