NH-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
4.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
4.8enters as 4.8
Democrats win
95.2enters as 100 − 95.2 = 4.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NH-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will a Republican win the House race for NH-1? - Anthony DiLorenzo5.7Will the Republican Party win the NH-01 House seat?3.0Will the Democratic Party win the NH-01 House seat?96.4New Hampshire-01 House Winner - Stefany Shaheen97.0New Hampshire-01 House Winner - Anthony DiLorenzo7.0NH-01 General Election — Anthony DiLorenzo4.0
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NH-01 General Election — Stefany Shaheen91.0Will Stefany Shaheen win the New Hampshire 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0Will Anthony DiLorenzo win the New Hampshire 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?4.0Will a Democrat win the House race for NH-1? - Stefany Shaheen95.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 4.8 · rows open on the exchange
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