FL-20 House 2026

The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·$379 traded / 24h·11 contracts·4 exchanges·Margin rank 321 of 435
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.7Safe D · ▲ 0.2 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.7
enters as 2.7
Democrats win
97.3
enters as 100 − 97.3 = 2.7

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Control of the House

Does FL-20 decide the House?

No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Full House picture
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11

Sorted by weight

Will Democratic win the House race for FL-20? - Debbie Wasserman Schultz97.5Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 2.5weight 100.0%FL-20 General Election — Rod Joseph2.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 98.0weight 0.0%FL-20 General Election — Elijah Manley2.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 98.0weight 0.0%FL-20 General Election — Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick2.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 98.0weight 0.0%FL-20 General Election — Brent Andersen6.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 94.0weight 0.0%FL-20 General Election — Debbie Wasserman Schultz95.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%
Show all 11 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.7 · rows open on the exchange
Other Florida races this cycle

Also on the ballot