FL-22 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
37.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
37.5enters as 37.5
Democrats win
62.5enters as 100 − 62.5 = 37.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does FL-22 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
FL-22 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 11
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for FL-22? - Casey Askar38.0Will the Republican Party win the FL-22 House seat?37.5Will Democratic win the House race for FL-22? - Pia Dandiya63.0Will the Democratic Party win the FL-22 House seat?62.5Florida-22 House Winner - Pia Dandiya65.0Florida-22 House Winner - Casey Askar39.0
Show all 11 contracts
FL-22 General Election — Lois Frankel2.0FL-22 General Election — Pia Dandiya56.0FL-22 General Election — Casey Askar44.0Will the Democratic party win the Florida's 22nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?74.0Will the Republican party win the Florida's 22nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?27.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 37.5 · rows open on the exchange
Other Florida races this cycle