MN-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
62.5
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
62.5enters as 62.5
Democrats win
37.5enters as 100 − 37.5 = 62.5
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MN-01 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
MN-01 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-01 House seat?36.5Will Democratic win the House race for MN-01? - Jake Johnson38.0Will Republican win the House race for MN-01? - Brad Finstad62.0Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?62.0Minnesota-01 House Winner - Jake Johnson40.0Minnesota-01 House Winner - Brad Finstad64.0
Show all 10 contracts
MN-01 General Election — Jake Johnson27.5MN-01 General Election — Brad Finstad72.5Will Jake Johnson win the Minnesota 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?28.0Will Brad Finstad win the Minnesota 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?72.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 62.5 · rows open on the exchange
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