GA-01 House 2026

The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected hold·$375 traded / 24h·12 contracts·5 exchanges·Margin rank 80 of 435
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
88.0Likely R · ▼ 2.0 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
88.0
enters as 88.0
Democrats win
12.0
enters as 100 − 12.0 = 88.0

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Control of the House

Does GA-01 decide the House?

No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Full House picture
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12

Sorted by weight

Will Democratic win the House race for GA-01? - Amanda Hollowell12.0Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 88.0weight 85.3%Will Republican win the House race for GA-01? - Jim Kingston88.0Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 88.0weight 14.7%Georgia-01 House Winner - Amanda Hollowell14.0Gemini ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 86.0weight 0.0%Georgia-01 House Winner - Jim Kingston90.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 90.0weight 0.0%GA-01 General Election — Patrick Farrell5.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 5.0weight 0.0%GA-01 General Election — Amanda Hollowell10.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 90.0weight 0.0%
Show all 12 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 88.0 · rows open on the exchange
Other Georgia races this cycle

Also on the ballot