GA-04 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.0enters as 2.0
Democrats win
98.0enters as 100 − 98.0 = 2.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does GA-04 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for GA-04? - James Duffie3.1GA-04 General Election — Jim Duffie4.0GA-04 General Election — Hank Johnson97.0Will Jim Duffie win the Georgia 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?4.0Will Hank Johnson win the Georgia 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?97.0Will Democratic win the House race for GA-04? - Hank Johnson97.4
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the GA-04 House seat?1.8Will the Democratic Party win the GA-04 House seat?98.0
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