MD-07 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.0enters as 2.0
Democrats win
98.0enters as 100 − 98.0 = 2.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MD-07 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
MD-07 General Election — Scott Collier4.0MD-07 General Election — Kweisi Mfume96.0Will Democratic win the House race for MD-07? - Kweisi Mfume95.0Will Republican win the House race for MD-07? - Scott Collier5.5Will Kweisi Mfume win the Maryland 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?88.0Will Scott Collier win the Maryland 7th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?6.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the MD-07 House seat?1.7Will the Democratic Party win the MD-07 House seat?97.8
See every contract behind this seat
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