GA-14 House 2026

The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected hold·10 contracts·4 exchanges·Margin rank 218 of 435
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
96.2Safe R · ▼ 0.3 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
96.2
enters as 96.2
Democrats win
3.8
enters as 100 − 3.8 = 96.2

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Control of the House

Does GA-14 decide the House?

No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Full House picture
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10

Sorted by weight

GA-14 General Election — Star Black4.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 4.0weight —GA-14 General Election — Shawn Harris5.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 5.0weight —GA-14 General Election — Clay Fuller91.0IBKR ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 91.0weight —Will Clay Fuller win the Georgia 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0ForecastEx ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 91.0weight —Will Shawn Harris win the Georgia 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?5.0ForecastEx ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 5.0weight —Will Star Black win the Georgia 14th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?4.0ForecastEx ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 4.0weight —
Show all 10 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 96.2 · rows open on the exchange
Other Georgia races this cycle

Also on the ballot