IA-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
29.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
29.0enters as 29.0
Democrats win
71.0enters as 100 − 71.0 = 29.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does IA-02 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
IA-02 is one of the 39 contested seats. Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for IA-02? - Joe Mitchell29.0Will the Republican Party win the IA-02 House seat?28.0Will the Democratic Party win the IA-02 House seat?71.5Will Democratic win the House race for IA-02? - Lindsay James71.0IA-02 General Election — Lindsay James63.5IA-02 General Election — Joe Mitchell36.5
Show all 10 contracts
Iowa-02 House Winner - Lindsay James72.0Iowa-02 House Winner - Joe Mitchell31.0Will Lindsay James win the Iowa 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?64.0Will Joe Mitchell win the Iowa 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?36.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 29.0 · rows open on the exchange
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