NJ-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
69.9
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
69.9enters as 69.9
Democrats win
30.1enters as 100 − 30.1 = 69.9
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NJ-02 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
NJ-02 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for NJ-02? - Zack Mullock29.0Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-02 House seat?31.5Will Republican win the House race for NJ-02? - Jeff Van Drew71.0Will the Republican Party win the NJ-02 House seat?68.5New Jersey-02 House Winner - Jeff Van Drew73.0New Jersey-02 House Winner - Zack Mullock30.0
Show all 12 contracts
NJ-02 General Election — Joe Salerno3.0NJ-02 General Election — Zack Mullock26.0NJ-02 General Election — Jeff Van Drew77.0Will Zack Mullock win the New Jersey 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?20.0Will Joe Salerno win the New Jersey 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?5.0Will Jeff Van Drew win the New Jersey 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?77.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 69.9 · rows open on the exchange
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