Iowa Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected flip to Dem·$92K traded / 24h·12 contracts·7 exchanges·Margin rank 11 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
16.8Likely D · ▲ 4.7 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
16.8
enters as 16.8
Democrats win
83.2
enters as 100 − 83.2 = 16.8

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Iowa

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 12

Sorted by weight

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Iowa - Zach Lahn18.0Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 18.0weight 65.4%Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Iowa - Rob Sand84.0Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 16.0weight 19.1%Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?84.5Polymarket ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 15.5weight 9.1%Will the Republicans win the Iowa governor race in 2026?15.5Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 15.5weight 6.2%Will Zach Lahn win Iowa governor 2026 election?15.0Manifold ◦ ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 85.0weight 0.1%Iowa Governor General Election — Rob Sand85.0IBKR ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 15.0weight 0.0%
Show all 12 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 16.8 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
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