KY-06 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
53.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
53.6enters as 53.6
Democrats win
46.4enters as 100 − 46.4 = 53.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does KY-06 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
KY-06 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for KY-06? - Ralph Alvarado54.0Will Democratic win the House race for KY-06? - Zach Dembo47.0Will the Democratic Party win the KY-06 House seat?46.5Will Ralph Alvarado win the Kentucky 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?58.0Will the Republican Party win the KY-06 House seat?53.0Kentucky-06 House Winner - Zach Dembo49.0
Show all 9 contracts
Kentucky-06 House Winner - Ralph Alvarado56.0KY-06 General Election — Ralph Alvarado58.5Will Zach Dembo win the Kentucky 6th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?34.0
See every contract behind this seat
Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 53.6 · rows open on the exchange
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