ME-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
54.9
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
54.9enters as 54.9
Democrats win
45.1enters as 100 − 45.1 = 54.9
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does ME-02 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
ME-02 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for ME-2? - Matt Dunlap45.0Will Republican win the House race for ME-2? - Paul LePage55.0Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat?45.5Will the Republican Party win the ME-02 House seat?54.5Maine-02 House Winner - Paul LePage57.0Maine-02 House Winner - Matt Dunlap45.0
Show all 10 contracts
ME-02 General Election — Matt Dunlap37.5ME-02 General Election — Paul LePage61.5Will Matt Dunlap win the Maine 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?38.0Will Paul LePage win the Maine 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?61.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 54.9 · rows open on the exchange
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