MI-04 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
45.9
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
45.9enters as 45.9
Democrats win
54.1enters as 100 − 54.1 = 45.9
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MI-04 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
MI-04 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for MI-4? - Sean McCann54.0Will Republican win the House race for MI-4? - Bill Huizenga46.0Will the Democratic Party win the MI-04 House seat?53.0Will the Republican Party win the MI-04 House seat?45.5Will Sean McCann win the Michigan 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?62.0Will Bill Huizenga win the Michigan 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?37.0
Show all 10 contracts
Michigan-04 House Winner - Sean McCann58.0Michigan-04 House Winner - Bill Huizenga48.0MI-04 General Election — Sean McCann58.5MI-04 General Election — Bill Huizenga40.5
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 45.9 · rows open on the exchange
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