LA-05 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
96.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
96.6enters as 96.6
Democrats win
3.4enters as 100 − 3.4 = 96.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does LA-05 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for LA-05? - Democratic party3.7Will Republican win the House race for LA-05? - Republican party96.9LA-05 General Election — Lindsay Garcia4.0LA-05 General Election — Blake Miguez9.0Will Blake Miguez win the Louisiana 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?9.0Will the Republican Party win the LA-05 House seat?95.5
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 96.6 · rows open on the exchange
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