MA-05 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.3enters as 2.3
Democrats win
97.8enters as 100 − 97.8 = 2.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MA-05 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 6
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-05 House seat?97.0MA-05 General Election — Katherine Clark97.5Will Democratic win the House race for MA-05? - Katherine Clark95.7Will Republican win the House race for MA-05? - Republican party3.8Will Katherine Clark win the Massachusetts 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will the Republican Party win the MA-05 House seat?1.5
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.3 · rows open on the exchange
Other Massachusetts races this cycle