MD-05 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
2.6
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
2.6enters as 2.6
Democrats win
97.4enters as 100 − 97.4 = 2.6
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MD-05 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 9
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-05 House seat?96.4MD-05 General Election — Chris Chaffee4.0MD-05 General Election — Adrian Boafo91.0MD-05 General Election — Quincy Bareebe50.0Will Democratic win the House race for MD-05? - Adrian Boafo91.9Will Republican win the House race for MD-05? - Chris Chaffee4.1
Show all 9 contracts
Will Adrian Boafo win the Maryland 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0Will Quincy Bareebe win the Maryland 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?75.0Will the Republican Party win the MD-05 House seat?2.9
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 2.6 · rows open on the exchange
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