MD-06 House 2026

The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·8 contracts·4 exchanges·Margin rank 197 of 435
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
4.1Safe D · ▼ 0.4 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
4.1
enters as 4.1
Democrats win
95.9
enters as 100 − 95.9 = 4.1

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Control of the House

Does MD-06 decide the House?

No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Full House picture
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8

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