OR-05 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
3.9
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
3.9enters as 3.9
Democrats win
96.1enters as 100 − 96.1 = 3.9
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does OR-05 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Republican win the House race for OR-5? - Patti Adair4.5Will the Republican Party win the OR-05 House seat?3.7OR-05 General Election — Patti Adair5.0OR-05 General Election — Janelle Bynum91.0Oregon-05 House Winner - Patti Adair6.0Oregon-05 House Winner - Janelle Bynum95.0
Show all 10 contracts
Will Patti Adair win the Oregon 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?5.0Will Janelle Bynum win the Oregon 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?91.0Will Democratic win the House race for OR-5? - Janelle Bynum95.8Will the Democratic Party win the OR-05 House seat?96.4
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 3.9 · rows open on the exchange
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