OK-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
98.0
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
98.0enters as 98.0
Democrats win
2.0enters as 100 − 2.0 = 98.0
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does OK-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will the Democratic Party win the OK-01 House seat?1.6Oklahoma-01 House Winner - Mark Tedford99.0Oklahoma-01 House Winner - John Thomas Croisant5.0OK-01 General Election — John Croisant8.0OK-01 General Election — Mark Tedford94.0Will Mark Tedford win the Oklahoma 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?96.0
Show all 10 contracts
Will Kevin Hern win the Oklahoma 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?10.0Will Democratic win the House race for OK-01? - John Croisant3.0Will Republican win the House race for OK-01? - Mark Tedford95.0Will the Republican Party win the OK-01 House seat?97.7
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 98.0 · rows open on the exchange
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