Michigan Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
31.4
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
31.4enters as 31.4
Democrats win
68.6enters as 100 − 68.6 = 31.4
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does Michigan decide the Senate?
Not by itself. It is inside the Democrats’ path.
Democrats need 4 of the 7 contested seats; Michigan is priced as their 2nd most likely win. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.3.
MOST LIKELY DEMOCRATICSEAT PMI
Alaska27.4Michigan31.4
Ohio32.1TexasTIPS CONTROL34.3Maine38.2Iowa58.3Kansas60.3MOST LIKELY REPUBLICAN
Democrats need 51 seats, Republicans 50 (the Republican Vice President breaks ties). Democrats count from the top, Republicans from the bottom.
Full Senate pictureContracts behind this reading · 6 of 17
Sorted by weight
Will Democratics win the Senate race in Michigan? - Abdul El-Sayed69.0Will Republicans win the Senate race in Michigan? - Mike Rogers32.0Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?68.5Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?30.5Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?74.3Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan?71.1
Show all 17 contracts
Michigan US Senate Winner - Mike Rogers33.0Will Abdul El Sayed win Michigan senate 2026 election?68.0Michigan US Senate Winner - Abdul El-Sayed70.0Michigan Senate General Election — Mallory McMorrow2.5Michigan Senate General Election — Mike Rogers35.5Michigan Senate General Election — Abdul El-Sayed66.5Michigan US Senate Winner - Haley Stevens2.0Will the Republican party win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?31.0Will the Democratic party win the Michigan general election for US Senate in 2026?70.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Michigan? - Republican (Rogers)34.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Michigan? - Democrats (El-Sayed)66.0
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Free with a Micah account: each contract, its exchange and its weight in the seat reading.
Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 31.4 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
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