Michigan Governor 2026

The chance this race goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Democrats · projected hold·$23K traded / 24h·13 contracts·7 exchanges·Margin rank 14 of 36
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
8.0Safe D · ▲ 1.3 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
8.0
enters as 8.0
Democrats win
92.0
enters as 100 − 92.0 = 8.0

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Other 2026 races

Also on the ballot in Michigan

Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 13

Sorted by weight

Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?92.7Polymarket ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 7.4weight 37.7%Will the Republican party win the governorship in Michigan - John James8.6Kalshi ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 8.6weight 28.4%Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?7.3Polymarket ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 7.4weight 27.7%Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Michigan - Jocelyn Benson91.9Kalshi ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 8.1weight 3.9%Will Jocelyn Benson become the 50th governor of the state of Michigan ?94.0Manifold ◦ ↗ · Democratic leg · enters as 6.0weight 1.9%Michigan Governor Winner - John James12.0Gemini ↗ · Republican leg · enters as 12.0weight 0.4%
Show all 13 contracts
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 8.0 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
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