MS-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
95.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
95.8enters as 95.8
Democrats win
4.2enters as 100 − 4.2 = 95.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MS-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 7
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for MS-01? - Cliff Johnson4.6Will Republican win the House race for MS-01? - Trent Kelly96.0Will the Democratic Party win the MS-01 House seat?3.2MS-01 General Election — Cliff Johnson5.0MS-01 General Election — Trent Kelly96.0Will Trent Kelly win the Mississippi 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?88.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 95.8 · rows open on the exchange
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