TN-02 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
95.8
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
95.8enters as 95.8
Democrats win
4.2enters as 100 − 4.2 = 95.8
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does TN-02 decide the House?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Tim Burchett win the Tennessee 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?96.0TN-02 General Election — Michaela Barnett4.0TN-02 General Election — Tim Burchett96.0Will Democratic win the House race for TN-02? - Michaela Barnett4.5Will Republican win the House race for TN-02? - Tim Burchett95.0Will Michaela Barnett win the Tennessee 2nd District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?4.0
Show all 8 contracts
Will the Republican Party win the TN-02 House seat?95.5Will the Democratic Party win the TN-02 House seat?4.5
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 95.8 · rows open on the exchange
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