MT-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
55.3
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
55.3enters as 55.3
Democrats win
44.7enters as 100 − 44.7 = 55.3
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does MT-01 decide the House?
No single seat does on today’s prices.
MT-01 is one of the 39 contested seats. Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 14
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for MT-1? - Sam Forstag45.0Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat?46.0Will Republican win the House race for MT-1? - Aaron Flint56.0Will the Republican Party win the MT-01 House seat?54.5MT-01 General Election — Sam Forstag43.0MT-01 General Election — Ryan Busse2.0
Show all 14 contracts
MT-01 General Election — Aaron Flint56.0MT-01 General Election — Aaron Flint56.5Montana-01 House Winner - Sam Forstag49.0Montana-01 House Winner - Aaron Flint59.0Will Sam Forstag win the Montana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?43.0Will Aaron Flint win the Montana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?68.0Will Aaron Flint win the Montana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?56.0Will Ryan Busse win the Montana 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?21.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 55.3 · rows open on the exchange
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