Montana Senate 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
95.2
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
95.2enters as 95.2
Democrats win
4.8enters as 100 − 4.8 = 95.2
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the Senate
Does Montana decide the Senate?
No. It is rated Safe R, outside the 7 contested seats.
Control turns on the 7 contested seats. The seat that tips control is Texas at 34.4.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 20
Sorted by weight
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Montana? - Kurt Alme91.6Will Seth Bodnar win Montanas Senate Election?9.0Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?0.1Will Democratics win the Senate race in Montana? - Alani Bankhead1.5Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?92.0Montana Senate General Election — Reilly Neill2.0
Show all 20 contracts
Montana Senate General Election — Alani Bankhead6.0Montana Senate General Election — Seth Bodnar4.0Montana Senate General Election — Kurt Alme93.0Montana US Senate Winner - Kyle Austin3.0Montana US Senate Winner - Alani Bankhead2.0Montana US Senate Winner - Seth Bodnar11.0Montana US Senate Winner - Kurt Alme94.0Will Seth Bodnar win the Montana general election for US Senate in 2026?4.0Will Alani Bankhead win the Montana general election for US Senate in 2026?6.0Will Kurt Alme win the Montana general election for US Senate in 2026?93.0Will Reilly Neill win the Montana general election for US Senate in 2026?5.0Will Steve Daines win the Montana general election for US Senate in 2026?71.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Montana? - Democrats (Bankhead)1.0Which party will win the 2026 US Senate election in Montana? - Republican (Alme)89.0
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 95.2 · ◦ play money · rows open on the exchange
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