WI-01 House 2026

The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.

LiveHeld by Republicans · projected hold·$2K traded / 24h·8 contracts·4 exchanges·Margin rank 5 of 435
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
55.0Toss-up · ▼ 8.9 14d
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
55.0
enters as 55.0
Democrats win
45.0
enters as 100 − 45.0 = 55.0

Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.

Control of the House

Does WI-01 decide the House?

No single seat does on today’s prices.
WI-01 is one of the 37 contested seats. Democrats already have 226 seats rated safe or likely, 8 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Full House picture
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8

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