NC-01 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
15.9
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
15.9enters as 15.9
Democrats win
84.1enters as 100 − 84.1 = 15.9
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NC-01 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely D, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 8
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-1? - Don Davis83.0Will Republican win the House race for NC-1? - Laurie Buckhout18.0Will the Democratic Party win the NC-01 House seat?84.0Will the Republican Party win the NC-01 House seat?16.0Will Laurie Buckhout win the North Carolina 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?22.0Will Don Davis win the North Carolina 1st District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?78.0
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 15.9 · rows open on the exchange
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