OK-05 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
84.7
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
84.7enters as 84.7
Democrats win
15.3enters as 100 − 15.3 = 84.7
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does OK-05 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 37 contested seats.
Democrats already have 225 seats rated safe or likely, 7 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 173 rated safe or likely, 45 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 10
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for OK-05? - Jena Nelson15.0Will Republican win the House race for OK-05? - Stephanie Bice85.0Oklahoma-05 House Winner - Jena Nelson16.0Oklahoma-05 House Winner - Stephanie Bice86.0OK-05 General Election — Jena Nelson13.0OK-05 General Election — Stephanie Bice89.0
Show all 10 contracts
Will Jena Nelson win the Oklahoma 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?13.0Will Stephanie Bice win the Oklahoma 5th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?89.0Will the Republican Party win the OK-05 House seat?84.5Will the Democratic Party win the OK-05 House seat?15.5
See every contract behind this seat
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Sign in free with GoogleWeights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 84.7 · rows open on the exchange
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