NC-05 House 2026
The chance this seat goes Republican in November, across every listed contract, as a 0–100 chance the Republican wins.
SEAT PMI · 0–100 · CHANCE REPUBLICANS WIN
86.4
DEMOCRATEVENREPUBLICAN
Republicans win
86.4enters as 86.4
Democrats win
13.6enters as 100 − 13.6 = 86.4
Both legs are aggregated. The Democratic leg is converted as 100 − p, so this seat reads on the same scale as every other.
Control of the House
Does NC-05 decide the House?
No. It is rated Likely R, outside the 39 contested seats.
Democrats already have 224 seats rated safe or likely, 6 past the 218 majority; Republicans have 172 rated safe or likely, 46 short of 218.
Contracts behind this reading · 6 of 6
Sorted by weight
Will Democratic win the House race for NC-05? - Chuck Hubbard14.0Will the Democratic Party win the NC-05 House seat?14.1NC-05 General Election — Chuck Hubbard8.0NC-05 General Election — Virginia Foxx91.0Will Republican win the House race for NC-05? - Virginia Foxx87.0Will the Republican Party win the NC-05 House seat?86.5
Weights are 24h liquidity share · reconciled reading 86.4 · rows open on the exchange
Other North Carolina races this cycle